Continuous Ensemble Weather Forecasting with Diffusion models
Example 10-day forecasts with 1h resolution and 50 ensemble members. Forecasts are done with the ARCI-24/1h model, iterating on 24h and interpolating on 1h.
Geopotential height at 500hPa (z500)
Temperature at 850hPa (t850)
Temperature at 2m (t2m)
U-wind component at 10m (u10)
V-wind component at 10m (u10)
Windspeed at 10m (ws10)